Friday, 3 September 2010

Peak oil is the "rosy scenario"...

Well, that's the argument from Dmitry Orlov. You need to read the whole article, but this short quote sums it up:

When faced with insufficient domestic oil production, an industrialized country has but two choices:

1. Import oil

2. Collapse

But when faced with insufficient global oil production, an industrialized planet has just one choice: Choice Number 2.
Needless to say, it's at the "doomer" end of the spectrum, but it's difficult to argue with the points made, sadly...



  1. Hey Mike, I tried to put some real numbers to that "rosy scenario" here: and here:, by considering the export-land model. I thought that it might interest you.
    Regards, c-w

  2. Thanks C-W, these graphs are always scary, and should be an alarm call to anyone looking at them!